Our Work

We stay curious about the latest trends and insights in the political world. Learn with us. Our essay series highlights our recent work and findings.
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Abbott Outperforms Trump in Hypothetical 2024 Matchups
16Jun
Abbott Outperforms Trump in Hypothetical 2024 Matchups
In a hypothetical rematch, former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden 44%-38% — the six-point difference matching the 2020 outcome. These results are better for Biden than in all the swing state polling we did earlier in the year. Biden leads Trump 48%-31% among Hispanic voters, while Trump leads 52%-33% among white voters.
Uvalde Tragedy Moves Texas Opinion in Gun Safety Debate
13Jun
Uvalde Tragedy Moves Texas Opinion in Gun Safety Debate
Texas voters overwhelmingly support tighter gun purchase statutes. Last week, we asked Texans about state gun purchase laws and recorded a 62% majority in favor of more restrictive gun purchase laws—putting the masses in this traditionally gun-loving state as slightly more pro-gun control than the nation as a whole.
Presidential Rematch Tips to Biden; Kelly Leads All GOP Challengers
18May
Presidential Rematch Tips to Biden; Kelly Leads All GOP Challengers
Whether it’s because of the recent leak of the Supreme Court opinion to overturn Roe or the specifics on-the-ground in Arizona, this week’s Blueprint survey has some of the better news we have seen for Democrats since we began these surveys in January.
Ohio GOP Senate Primary a Toss-Up as an Establishment Republican Gains Ground
26Apr
Ohio GOP Senate Primary a Toss-Up as an Establishment Republican Gains Ground
The Republican Primary for Senate in Ohio is still anyone’s race with a week remaining, with no candidate above 20% and a third of voters still undecided. Our survey completed over the weekend shows State Senator Matt Dolan leading the pack with 18%, followed closely by J.D. Vance at 17%, Mike Gibbons at 13%, and Josh Mandel at 12%.
Biden and Trump in a Virtual Tie in Hypothetical Rematch in Colorado
12Apr
Biden and Trump in a Virtual Tie in Hypothetical Rematch in Colorado
In a state that President Biden won by 13.5 % just a year and a half ago, the incumbent is dead even with his former rival. While these numbers are surely disappointing for Democrats, Trump has only improved his tally in Colorado by 1.2 % in the last eighteen months. The real story is that Biden’s support has fallen by 12.5% since Election Day.
Hispanic Voters Wary of Biden in NV Survey
25Mar
Hispanic Voters Wary of Biden in NV Survey
The President is currently down by double digits in Nevada, a state he won handily in 2020. The COVID hangover, inflation in general, fuel prices and the confusion over Ukraine seem to be taking their toll. As we have seen in other states, a large contingent of voters (almost one in four) are either undecided or expressing support for an unnamed third-party candidate—an obvious sign of dissatisfaction with likely options in the 2024 contest.