Between 2010 and 2020, California essentially lost a congressional district to Texas, with somewhere around three-quarters of a million people moving from the Golden State to the Lone Star State.
Category: Our Work
2024 Arizona Election Preview: Sinema’s Long Odds and Waning Enthusiasm for Biden
An early 2023 survey of likely general election voters illustrates that Senator Kyrsten Sinema’s path to reelection is both complicated and unprecedented.
Possible Upsets in Oklahoma and Oregon—But Partisans Are Coming Home
Earlier this week, we finished up polls of the gubernatorial races in Oregon and Oklahoma—a traditionally safe blue and safe red state, respectively, where local issues have caused the out party to gain some momentum this year.
Your Election Night Cheat Sheet
If you’re keeping tabs on elections in more than one state on Tuesday, keep in mind that several of them probably won’t be decided that night. More than 31.2 million midterm early vote and mail-in ballots have been cast as of last night.
Jackson Residents Divided on Water Woes; No Consensus on Leadership During Crisis or Best Long-Term Fix
Residents in the City of Jackson rate Mayor Chokwe Antar Lumumba’s overall job performance rating as a net -8% negative but give him significantly lower marks (-14%) when it comes to his handling of the city’s current water crisis.
McMaster Leads by 11 in SC Gov. Race But Poll Shows Plenty of Upside for Cunningham
South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster is at 50% and leads his Democratic opponent Joe Cunningham by 11 points in his race for re-election. McMaster got 54% in the 2018 contest.
Whitmer With Solid Lead in Race for Governor
Democrat Gov. Gretchen Whitmer leads Republican challenger Tudor Dixon 51% to 39% in her race to be re-elected Governor of Michigan.
Dobbs Decision Tilts NC State Senate Race Toward Beasley
Democrat Cheri Beasley leads Republican Ted Budd 46% to 42% with 12% undecided in the open US Senate seat in NC. This survey comes six weeks after the Dobbs decision that struck down abortion rights secured under Roe v. Wade.
Democratic Insiders: Slight Uptick in Confidence About November Elections
Earlier in the year, we wrote about reasons for optimism in the midterms, citing several experts who opined about trends in redistricting and the problems with many candidates in GOP primaries.
Democratic Nominees for PA Governor and Senate Enjoy Early Lead While Biden Fades
All eyes will be on Pennsylvania this November, where Democrats have the rarest of chances for a pickup in the US Senate and the governor’s race features a “Big Lie” Republican who was subpoenaed by the January 6th Committee.