Michigan: Storm Clouds from the Great Lakes State

February 10, 2022

Blueprint Polling surveyed Michigan voters February 1-4 in the second of its regular, public 2022 Election Battleground polls.

For the last four presidential elections, the road to the White House went through Michigan. The 2022 midterms in the Wolverine state should be equally as exciting, with first term Governor Gretchen Whitmer on the ballot and congressional redistricting resulting in more competitive seats.

Trump Holds Current Lead in Presidential Rematch

One month into the new year, Donald Trump is polling slightly ahead of President Biden, 40.4% – 38.2%, with 13.4% of voters undecided and 8% saying they plan to support a third party candidate—a clear sign that many voters are unhappy with their likely options in the 2024 contest. Trump leads with both those who say they are definitely voting and those who are probably voting, with undecideds and third party choices growing to a combined 36.8% among probable voters.

  • Biden’s performance among African Americans is notably soft—some 37% say they are undecided or supporting a third party candidate at this time.
  • Trump holds a 4.9% lead among non-Hispanic White voters.
  • Trump leads by 4% among voters with a college degree.
  • Trump leads by 1% among those without a degree.

Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer Essentially Tied with Likely Republican Nominee James Craig

  • Whitmer leads by just over half a point, 44.3% – 43.7%.
  • Craig leads Whitmer 41% – 33% among independents.
  • Craig also leads 53%-39% among men, while Whitmer leads 49%-36% among women.

Breaking Down the Build Back Better Agenda
We asked voters about five of the original sections of the Build Back Better agenda that continue to be viable which one they would prioritize:

  • A plurality (28%) chose lowering prescription drug costs, followed by addressing climate change (17%).
  • Climate change is the number one issue among Democrats, as 33% list this as the piece of BBB they believe should be addressed first.  It is also much more important to certain voters when compared to “likely voters.”
  • The top issue for Republicans (40%) and Independents (29%) is lowering prescription drug costs.

You can find toplines and crosstabs about the survey here.